Fresh Fig and Dry Fig 수출 진단 (Jmarket)

Tridge 데이터와 무관한 제품·시장 본질 적합도

Confirmed by public research: Iraq applies formal import-document legalization steps, food labeling requirements for packaged foods, and shelf-life/date-marking rules through COSQC-linked standards; this matters directly for dried figs, and fresh figs also face plant-health controls at entry points. Confirmed also that Iraq’s regulatory implementation can differ between federal Iraq and the KRG, which can affect execution on the ground. I could not confirm current Iraq import-demand figures for figs from a citable primary source within budget, and I could not verify current fig-specific tariffs or any active Iran-Iraq preferential duty for these exact products. I therefore separated verified compliance barriers from unverified commercial-demand and tariff assumptions.

수출 난이도 (규제·무역·인증)

This is a relatively difficult first export project for a new exporter because the offer spans two very different compliance routes: fresh figs require plant-health clearance and tight perishability control, while dried figs require packaged-food labeling and shelf-life compliance. For Iraq, I confirmed documented customs paperwork/legalization requirements and Iraqi food-label rules (IQS/230/1989) plus shelf-life/date-marking rules (IQS 1847/1999) from public sources; I also confirmed that Iraqi entry points involve MOA/MOH/COSQC enforcement architecture. I could not reliably verify current product-specific tariff rates for fresh vs dried figs, nor a current preferential Iran-Iraq tariff treatment for these HS lines, so landed-cost advantage should be checked with a customs broker before selling. I also could not verify a fresh-fig-specific mandatory temperature range from an Iraqi primary source, only that perishability makes transit discipline a real operational hurdle.

시장 특성

구매자 우위 시장

특이사항

For a seller entering Iraq with figs, the market likely behaves as price-sensitive and relationship-driven, which generally favors importers/distributors unless the supplier offers superior consistency, packing discipline, and reliable border execution. Fresh and dried figs should not be sold as one generic proposition: fresh figs are seasonal and logistics-sensitive, while dried figs are longer-shelf-life and more substitutable. Cross-border execution risk, documentation accuracy, and labeling readiness are more decisive here than broad demand narratives. If sales target both federal Iraq and KRG-linked flows, execution details may differ even where headline standards are shared.

Pool → Targeted(20%) → Responded → Lead funnel. Responded·Lead는 본질 난이도 가중(low ×1.2 · moderate ×1.0 · high ×0.7). 최종 적합도는 Lead 범위 기준. Pool은 현재 매칭 기준 최소치이며 추가 발굴이 가능합니다(+).

Tridge can discover a meaningful raw buyer pool across the Iraq fig universes, but the decisive lens is the expected Lead band after targeting, response, qualification, and difficulty weighting. On the total pool of 3188, the expected funnel yields only leads 0.1~0.6 in the conservative case and 0.6~2.1 in the aggressive case, so realistic deal creation remains limited despite the large headline pool. The strongest reachable universe is Iraq dried-fruit importers, while the fresh and private-label universes are further compressed by high difficulty, and two proposed sub-universes currently show no discoverable pool at all. This creates a clear gap between axis ① market attractiveness/draft strategy and axis ② practical buyer reach: the market can be directionally interesting, but actual lead generation is still narrow.

AI 리서치 기반 회사 수출 역량 진단 — 관측 무역 데이터는 참고 지표 (특정 제품/시장 적합성은 아래 별도 표시)

무역 데이터 미매칭 — 진술 정보 기반 평가

Web research on Jmarket in Iran produced no reliable public company footprint that would verify a formal export organization, overseas sales team, branch network, certifications, trade fair activity, or named foreign distribution relationships; the main finding is the absence of confirmable evidence, not proof that none exists. The reference trade indicator is also inconclusive because the seller could not be matched in the customs trade registry, so there is no observed trade pattern to validate direct multi-buyer export capability. Applying the skeptical standard, direct export capability should be upgraded only when there is concrete evidence of systemized export operations rather than owner-led handling or preparation-stage claims. Based on the currently verifiable record, Jmarket is best assessed as low for direct export capability.

캠페인 가격 · 커밋 Lead

결정론적 산정 — AI가 아닌 시스템 룰

확약 = min(4축 점수 밴드, pool 이행 상한). 4축 = 제품·시장 적합도(high 3 · moderate 2 · low 0) + 수출 난이도(low 3 · moderate 2 · high 0) + 판매자 경쟁력(high 2 · moderate 1 · low 0 · 미제공 1) + Tridge 데이터 준비도(±1). 밴드 8+→5 · 6~7→4 · 4~5→3 · 2~3→2 · 그 외 1. 상한은 보수·공격 시나리오 Lead 상한의 중간값(중복 제거 union pool 기준). 커밋 0개는 판매 비권고에서만.

Tridge 데이터 준비도: 발굴 pool 중 수입 실적이 확인되는 비율 86.6% — 나머지는 이름·설명 매칭만으로 잡힌 미검증 회사다.

The FIXED input states: 4축 확약 점수 5 → 목표 3건, 발굴 pool 1497개 기준 이행 상한 1건, 둘 중 낮은 값이 확약이 된다. The score was held down by seller export competitiveness being low (+0), while 제품·시장 적합도 moderate (+2), 수출 난이도 moderate (+2), and Tridge 데이터 준비도 86.6% (+1) brought the total to 5 and mapped to a 3-lead target. However, the limiting factor in the stated derivation was not the score target but the pool-derived delivery cap of 1건. Separately, this brief provides committed_leads_count: 0 as a FIXED deterministic verdict, so that fixed commitment must be narrated verbatim rather than altered.