Fresh Yellow Onion Export Feasibility Check (Turkish vegetable)

Tridge 데이터와 무관한 제품·시장 본질 적합도

The brief specifies an India-based seller offering fresh yellow and red onions at 20 MT per month; the extracted origin field is empty, so Indian origin must be confirmed before applying origin-specific rules. Malaysia’s MAQIS identifies bulbs as plant material subject to plant-quarantine oversight, but its published plant-import page does not establish the exact permit requirement for consumption onions. I could not verify destination-specific onion import values, growth, prevailing prices, competing-origin shares, or a current India-to-destination trade measure; their absence from this research is not evidence of absent demand.

수출 난이도 (규제·무역·인증)

For Malaysia, MAQIS’s plant-import guidance establishes the Plant Quarantine Act 1976 / Plant Quarantine Regulations 1981 framework and explicitly includes bulbs in its definition of plants; it does not confirm whether consumption onions require an import permit, a phytosanitary certificate, or another onion-specific condition. Exporters should confirm the applicable phytosanitary and pest conditions for each destination before contracting. I could not verify current Indian DGFT onion export restrictions or duties, destination HS 0703 tariffs/FTA preferences, Saudi, Sri Lankan or Bangladeshi onion-specific import procedures, or mandatory labelling and residue limits. A dry, ventilated shipment plan and agreed grading, curing and packaging specifications require validation for the proposed route; a refrigerated temperature or mandatory private certification was not verified.

시장 특성

균형 시장

특이사항

This is a provisional, evidence-limited orientation, not a finding that supply and demand are quantitatively balanced: current price series, harvest timing, competing origins and import shares were not established. India's onion export policy may change; verify the applicable DGFT notice on the quotation and shipment dates. Confirm whether the seller's company name implies Turkish origin or whether the stated IN country means Indian-origin produce; do not assume the origin from the company name.

Pool → Targeted(20%) → Responded → Lead funnel. Responded·Lead는 본질 난이도 가중(low ×1.2 · moderate ×1.0 · high ×0.7). 최종 적합도는 Lead 범위 기준. Pool은 현재 매칭 기준 최소치이며 추가 발굴이 가능합니다(+).

The five universes contain pools of 2026, 1788, 1840, 2517 and 2959 buyers, respectively. Across the supplied funnel, expected responded buyers are 12.8–38.3 conservatively and 38.3–89.4 aggressively; expected leads are 0.5–2.9 and 2.9–10.0, respectively. This supports high discovery potential at the upside ceiling, but only moderate intrinsic product–market fit and a conservative lead ceiling of 2.9 expose a substantial gap between apparent market reach and likely deal opportunities. High-difficulty weighting also suppresses lead yield in four universes; the moderately difficult Sri Lankan segment has the strongest conservative lead band.

AI 리서치 기반 회사 수출 역량 진단 — 관측 무역 데이터는 참고 지표 (특정 제품/시장 적합성은 아래 별도 표시)

참고 지표 관측 3개년: 수출 $370K · 4개국 · 44개 품목

인도 소재 ‘Turkish vegetable’를 대상으로 회사명·수출·양파 관련 공개 자료를 조사했으나 동일 기업의 프로필, 수출 전담 인력, 해외 거점 또는 직수출 계약을 확인하지 못했다. 참고 무역 지표에는 $370K · 4개국 · 44개 품목 · 수출고객 17곳이 나타나지만, ‘VEGETABLE’이라는 불완전한 명칭 매칭(confidence 0.56)이므로 해당 회사 실적으로 확정할 수 없고 MY 68.7% 집중도 확인된다. 직접 수출 조직과 신규 채널 개척이 시스템화됐다는 검증 가능한 근거가 등급 상향의 기준인데 현재는 이를 확인하지 못했으며, 고객도 ‘수출 준비 중’이라고 진술했다. 따라서 실제 역량이 없다고 단정하지 않으면서 직접 수출 수행 역량을 낮게 평가한다.

캠페인 가격 · 커밋 Lead

결정론적 산정 — AI가 아닌 시스템 룰

확약 = min(4축 점수 밴드, pool 이행 상한). 4축 = 제품·시장 적합도(high 3 · moderate 2 · low 0) + 수출 난이도(low 3 · moderate 2 · high 0) + 판매자 경쟁력(high 2 · moderate 1 · low 0 · 미제공 1) + Tridge 데이터 준비도(±1). 밴드 8+→5 · 6~7→4 · 4~5→3 · 2~3→2 · 그 외 1. 상한은 보수·공격 시나리오 Lead 상한의 중간값(중복 제거 union pool 기준). 커밋 0개는 판매 비권고에서만.

Tridge 데이터 준비도: 발굴 pool 중 수입 실적이 확인되는 비율 74.0% — 나머지는 이름·설명 매칭만으로 잡힌 미검증 회사다.

The fixed four-axis capability score is 6, mapped to a target of 4 qualified leads; the stated pool-derived delivery cap is 5 based on a pool of 8538, so the lower score-based target sets the commitment at 4. The seller export competitiveness assessment of low contributed +0 and held the score down, while moderate product–market fit contributed +2 and Tridge data readiness, with a 74.0% verified import-history ratio, contributed +1; low export difficulty contributed +3. The pool cap was not the binding constraint.