Research Intel
Hook Candidates
1) Nearshoring / India export disruptions → surge in SEA agri exports routed via Singapore (rice, seafood, palm oil): WIZ’s exporter customers are likely being asked by buyers to switch origins quickly or expand to new markets; they need fast market intelligence, buyer introductions, and coordinated multi-leg logistics with origin verification and documentation. Tridge Ark can supply immediate buyer-supplier matching and handle cross-border compliance and shipment orchestration — WIZ originates exporters into Ark to capture that incremental agri export flow.
2) Softening sea freight rates + growing transshipment volumes through Singapore (Tuas ramp-up, denser intra‑Asia networks) = margin pressure for forwarders and a need to fill capacity with higher-margin export customers (agri exporters with recurring shipments). Pitch: Tridge Ark brings a pipeline of verified exporters/importers (especially agri/food) who need freight partners to deliver; WIZ can win new, recurring export business by partnering with Ark to provide execution while Ark handles sourcing/sales.
## Company Profile
WIZ LOGTEC SOLUTIONS SINGAPORE PTE. LIMITED — Singapore-based freight forwarder (listed on ForwardersPages; website http://www.wizfreight.com). Lead contact: Ramkumar Ramachandran, Director. Category: freight_forwarder. Likely small-to-mid sized NVOCC/forwarder operating sea and air consolidation and transshipment services out of Singapore (Changi/Tuas hub). Public profile is limited, but based on category and location the company’s core services are: booking and consolidation, import/export customs clearance, transshipment handling through Singapore, and air/sea freight solutions for regional shippers.
## Pain Points
## Intel Summary
=== MULTI-DIMENSION RESEARCH ===
=== 1. [MARKET_DYNAMICS] — Singapore freight forwarding market: sea/air rates, capacity, transshipment (2025–2026) ===
**Market & capacity environment**
- Singapore remains a top‑tier container and transshipment hub:
- Recent industry report pegs Singapore’s container throughput at about **44.7 million TEU in 2025**, up **8.6% YoY** and roughly **55% above pre‑pandemic levels**. ([media.shipco.com](https://media.shipco.com/global-shipping-disruptions-push-volumes-toward-southeast-asias-transshipment-gateways/?utm_source=openai))
- Another 2025 report cites **~40 million TEU, +5% YoY**, illustrating strong but source‑dependent variation; directionally both show mid‑single to high‑single‑digit growth. ([ports.marinelink.com](https://ports.marinelink.com/ports/port/angoon/news/singapore-port-reports-robust-2025-container-throughput-optimistic-2026-outlook?utm_source=openai))
- Transshipment accounts for roughly **85% of total container throughput**, underscoring Singapore’s role as a relay hub rather than origin/destination port. ([marketresearch.com](https://www.marketresearch.com/Expert-Market-Research-v4220/Singapore-Container-Transshipment-Size-Share-44619452/?utm_source=openai))
- Tuas Mega Port build‑out continues toward **65 million TEU annual capacity** when fully operational, locking in long‑term capacity headroom for 2030s‑era demand. ([marketresearch.com](https://www.marketresearch.com/Expert-Market-Research-v4220/Singapore-Container-Transshipment-Size-Share-44619452/?utm_source=openai))
- On the **services price side**, Singapore’s official Services Producer Price Index (SPPI) shows:
- **Containerised freight transport prices down 13.5% YoY** in the latest release (2Q 2025 vs 2Q 2024),
- **Dry bulk freight transport down 12.0% YoY**,
indicative of **excess shipping capacity vs. demand** and soft freight pricing environment for 2025 entering 2026. ([singstat.gov.sg](https://www.singstat.gov.sg/-/media/files/publications/economy/sppi2q2025.ashx?utm_source=openai))
- Global container shipping fundamentals for 2025–2026:
- Several industry outlooks point to **~6% global fleet capacity growth in 2025**, outpacing trade growth and contributing to downward pressure on spot rates. ([mbs.com.vn](https://mbs.com.vn/files/uploads/2025/07/VN-Dynamicc-2H25_Seaport-EN.pdf?utm_source=openai))
- 2026 outlooks anticipate **“softer rates ahead but persistent volatility”**, with base‑case scenarios of easing Suez/Red Sea disruptions but risk of renewed shocks that could re‑tighten capacity. ([spglobal.com](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/news-insights/research/2026/02/2026-ocean-freight-outlook-softer-rates-ahead-but-volatility-is-not-going-anywhere?utm_source=openai))
**Sea freight rates & routing dynamics via Singapore**
- While lane‑specific Singapore rate indices are proprietary, directionally:
- Global analyses expect **spot container freight rates to remain generally stable to slightly lower in 2026** versus late‑2025 averages, after a post‑Red‑Sea spike faded as carriers re‑deployed tonnage. ([mbs.com.vn](https://mbs.com.vn/files/uploads/2025/12/BCCL_2026_Nganh-Logistics_EN_20251225.pdf?utm_source=openai))
- Red Sea/Cape of Good Hope diversions through 2024–early 2025 lifted long‑haul rates; by 1H 2025 markets had “calmed down,” but **volatility premium** is still priced in, especially on Asia–Europe corridors that many Singapore‑hubbed services touch. ([olgn.org](https://www.olgn.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/6.Seatrade-Container-shipping-market-outlook-for-2025.pdf?utm_source=openai))
- For Singapore‑linked trades (Transpacific, Asia–Europe, Intra‑Asia):
- UPS Q1 2026 logistics update notes **capacity has largely returned to the market** on major East–West lanes, with temporary rate gains fading as new vessels deliver. ([es-us-apps.ups.com](https://es-us-apps.ups.com/us/en/supplychain/resources/news-and-market-updates/quarterly-freight-and-logistics-trends?utm_source=openai))
- Vietnamese broker research on seaports (deep‑water, transshipment‑oriented) expects **rate adjustments (downward) from 2H 2025** as capacity additions outpace demand—this applies similarly to Singapore’s hub role given similar exposure to mainline carriers and intra‑Asia relays. ([mbs.com.vn](https://mbs.com.vn/files/uploads/2025/07/VN-Dynamicc-2H25_Seaport-EN.pdf?utm_source=openai))
**Air freight: capacity and rate trends via Singapore (Changi)**
- Changi Airport:
- Handled **~2.08 million tonnes of air freight in 2025**, described as among its strongest cargo performances on record. ([en.wikipedia.org](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Changi_Airport?utm_source=openai))
- 2024 air cargo volumes through Singapore reportedly grew **~14.6% YoY**, reflecting a strong post‑pandemic rebound and e‑commerce uplift. ([chrobinson.com](https://www.chrobinson.com/en-us/about-us/newsroom/news/2025/singapore-air-freight-hub-expands/?utm_source=openai))
- Major integrators (e.g., FedEx) designate Changi a **principal cargo hub**, reinforcing its role as a regional consolidation point for high‑value and time‑sensitive flows. ([en.wikipedia.org](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Changi_Airport?utm_source=openai))
- Global air freight pricing & yields:
- UPS Q1 2026 briefing reports **average air cargo rates fell ~1% in 2025 vs 2024**, while **cargo yields increased ~3%** on “remarkable volume growth,” implying some mix shift toward higher‑value cargo or improved load factor management. ([es-us-apps.ups.com](https://es-us-apps.ups.com/us/en/supplychain/resources/news-and-market-updates/quarterly-freight-and-logistics-trends?utm_source=openai))
- For Singapore‑based forwarders, this translates into **slightly softer headline buy‑rates** but **more stable net margins** if they can pass on yield improvements and optimize consolidation through Changi.
**Transshipment/relay patterns through Singapore (2025–2026)**
- Container network structure:
- Recent network analysis (2021Q4 vs 2025Q4) shows **intra‑Asia container shipping becoming more complex**, with large increases in route frequency along **East Asia–South Asia** and **Southeast Asia–South Asia** corridors—much of which is handled via regional hubs like Singapore. ([sciencedirect.com](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2092521226000209?utm_source=openai))
- Singapore is consistently characterized as a **“pre‑eminent global container transshipment hub,”** tied into more than **600 ports across ~120 countries**. ([marketresearch.com](https://www.marketresearch.com/Expert-Market-Research-v4220/Singapore-Container-Transshipment-Size-Share-44619452/?utm_source=openai))
- Shift of volumes to Southeast Asian gateways:
- A 2025–26 logistics commentary notes that **shipping disruptions (Red Sea, port congestion elsewhere)** have **pushed incremental volumes toward Southeast Asian transshipment gateways**, naming Singapore and Port Klang as key beneficiaries. ([media.shipco.com](https://media.shipco.com/global-shipping-disruptions-push-volumes-toward-southeast-asias-transshipment-gateways/?utm_source=openai))
- That same source estimates **Singapore’s 2025 TEU throughput is ~55% above pre‑pandemic levels**, implying that a large share of growth is transshipment/relay rather than local imports/exports. ([media.shipco.com](https://media.shipco.com/global-shipping-disruptions-push-volumes-toward-southeast-asias-transshipment-gateways/?utm_source=openai))
**Implications for freight forwarders in Singapore (2026)**
- **Sea freight**:
- Expect **structurally high vessel capacity** plus Tuas ramp‑up → **competitive FAK contract rates** and more aggressive carrier pricing on major trades in 2026, barring acute geopolitical disruptions.
- Intra‑Asia and Asia–South Asia corridors via Singapore should see **growing service frequency and larger ships**, improving schedule options but also increasing pressure on forwarder margins.
- **Air freight**:
- Strong cargo flows and hub expansions (e.g., forwarders expanding Changi facilities by 200%+ in some cases) point to **continued growth in capacity**.
- With global average air rates slightly down but yields up, 2026 likely features **rate normalization yet robust demand in e‑commerce, semiconductors, and high‑value perishables** via Singapore.
**Section 1 sources:** ([marketresearch.com](https://www.marketresearch.com/Expert-Market-Research-v4220/Singapore-Container-Transshipment-Size-Share-44619452/?utm_source=openai))
---
=== 2. [INDUSTRY_OUTLOOK] — Southeast Asia agricultural exports (rice, palm oil, seafood) & export‑destination shifts into 2026 ===
**High‑level picture (2025–26)**
- Across major Southeast Asian agri exporters, **export values are growing modestly, with significant product‑ and destination‑specific shifts**:
- India (not SEA but a key regional benchmark) saw **agri & processed food exports rise only 2% YoY to USD 25.71 bn in FY 2025–26**, constrained by falling rice shipments due to export curbs and regional conflict. ([financialexpress.com](https://www.financialexpress.com/policy/economy/agri-amp-processed-food-exports-rise-just-2-in-fy26/4209582/?utm_source=openai))
- India’s seafood exports rose **11.2% to USD 8.28 bn in 2025–26**, driven by strong demand from **China, EU and Southeast Asia**, while exports to West Asia declined slightly (‑0.55%) due to regional turmoil. ([economictimes.indiatimes.com](https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/foreign-trade/seafood-exports-up-11-2-in-2025-26/articleshow/130423199.cms?utm_source=openai))
These India data points are useful proxies for **demand re‑routing** that also benefits SEA suppliers (especially in seafood).
**Rice exports (focus on Southeast Asian origins competing with / replacing India)**
- India’s ongoing rice export restrictions and war‑related disruptions have:
- Cut Indian rice exports in March 2026 by **15% YoY**, with particular disruption to Gulf markets (Iran, Saudi Arabia). ([financialexpress.com](https://www.financialexpress.com/policy/economy/agri-amp-processed-food-exports-rise-just-2-in-fy26/4209582/?utm_source=openai))
- Pushed buyers toward **Thailand, Vietnam, and other ASEAN suppliers**, although granular 2026 ASEAN export volumes are still filtering through official stats.
- OECD‑FAO medium‑term outlook (to 2026) indicates:
- **Southeast Asia remains a net‑exporter of rice**, with **Thailand and Vietnam** key beneficiaries of incremental demand when India is constrained;
- Net exports of rice from Southeast Asia are expected to **increase** over the 2017–2026 period, even as domestic consumption rises. ([oecd.org](https://www.oecd.org/content/dam/oecd/en/publications/reports/2017/07/oecd-fao-agricultural-outlook-2017-2026_g1g7a2da/agr_outlook-2017-en.pdf?utm_source=openai))
**Implications into 2026:**
- With India’s restrictions and sporadic Gulf disruptions, **trade flows are gradually rebalancing**:
- **Origin‑switching** by importers in the Middle East and parts of Africa toward **Thailand/Vietnam rice** and some **Cambodian/Myanmar fragrant rice** where logistics and quality match.
- This creates **upside risk to Thai/Vietnamese FOB rice prices** and could reinforce Southeast Asia’s share of global non‑Basmati long‑grain trade into 2026.
**Palm oil & vegetable oils (Indonesia, Malaysia)**
- OECD‑FAO outlook through 2026 suggests:
- **Indonesia and Malaysia remain the dominant net exporters of vegetable oils**, driven by **palm oil**.
- However, **growth in net exports slows** as domestic biodiesel programs and food use absorb more production; **trade balances for vegetable oils narrow modestly** compared with the previous decade. ([oecd.org](https://www.oecd.org/content/dam/oecd/en/publications/reports/2017/07/oecd-fao-agricultural-outlook-2017-2026_g1g7a2da/agr_outlook-2017-en.pdf?utm_source=openai))
- Recent (late‑2025) commentary highlights:
- Continued strong import demand for palm oil from **India, China, and the Middle East**, but with **policy‑driven volatility**—for example, Indonesia’s shifting export levy structure and biodiesel mandates periodically constrain export availability (not in the last 90 days, but structurally relevant).
**Implications for 2026:**
- Expect **steady to slightly higher SEA palm oil export volumes**, but:
- **Less room for explosive export growth** due to environmental caps and domestic blending mandates.
- **Destination mix remains concentrated** (India, China, EU, Middle East), with incremental growth in **Africa and smaller Asian markets** diversifying the base.
**Seafood exports (Vietnam, Indonesia, Thailand and regional context)**
- Regional seafood exports are generally **expanding**:
- AgroSpectrum Asia’s 2025 review notes:
- Vietnam’s seafood exports in 2025 featured shrimp as the leading product, at **~USD 3.38 bn over 9 months, +20.3% YoY**. ([agrospectrumasia.com](https://agrospectrumasia.com/2025/12/23/asias-seafood-exports-in-2025-tariffs-trade-deals-and-market-shifts.html?utm_source=openai))
- Indonesia reached **~USD 4.5 bn (+3%)** in seafood exports, supported by trade agreements (e.g., CEPAs) and premium product positioning. ([agrospectrumasia.com](https://agrospectrumasia.com/2025/12/23/asias-seafood-exports-in-2025-tariffs-trade-deals-and-market-shifts.html?utm_source=openai))
- Thailand achieved **~USD 6.0 bn (+2%)**, led by premium shrimp and squid exports to **EU and Japan**. ([agrospectrumasia.com](https://agrospectrumasia.com/2025/12/23/asias-seafood-exports-in-2025-tariffs-trade-deals-and-market-shifts.html?utm_source=openai))
- India’s seafood case (again, as regional demand signal):
- FY 2025–26 seafood exports **+11.2% to USD 8.28 bn**, with strong demand from **China, EU, SEA** and weaker West Asia. ([economictimes.indiatimes.com](https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/foreign-trade/seafood-exports-up-11-2-in-2025-26/articleshow/130423199.cms?utm_source=openai))
**Destination / demand shifts:**
- Across Asia’s seafood exporters:
- **China and EU** remain central growth markets for shrimp and whitefish. ([agrospectrumasia.com](https://agrospectrumasia.com/2025/12/23/asias-seafood-exports-in-2025-tariffs-trade-deals-and-market-shifts.html?utm_source=openai))
- **Southeast Asia itself is an increasingly important import market** (processing hubs, re‑export platforms, and rising middle‑class consumption).
**Regulatory & policy context affecting 2026 exports**
- **Rice**:
- India’s export restrictions and ad‑hoc policy shifts (tariff hikes, bans) have effectively **redistributed part of global rice demand to ASEAN origins**. ([financialexpress.com](https://www.financialexpress.com/policy/economy/agri-amp-processed-food-exports-rise-just-2-in-fy26/4209582/?utm_source=openai))
- Many importing governments are **diversifying suppliers** for food security reasons, further cementing Southeast Asia’s role.
- **Seafood**:
- Ongoing **EU, US, and Japanese sustainability and IUU‑fishing regulations** are pushing ASEAN exporters to upgrade traceability and certification. While not captured in one single recent article, this is a continuing structural theme reflected in country‑level export promotion documents and the 2025 regional analyses. ([agrospectrumasia.com](https://agrospectrumasia.com/2025/12/23/asias-seafood-exports-in-2025-tariffs-trade-deals-and-market-shifts.html?utm_source=openai))
- **Palm oil**:
- Implementation of stricter **deforestation and sustainability rules in the EU (e.g., EUDR)** is encouraging **some demand re‑orientation toward Asia and Middle East** markets that are less strict, while EU buyers move up the value chain toward certified sustainable products. (Inference based on OECD‑FAO outlook plus recent policy trajectory rather than a single new 2026‑dated report.) ([oecd.org](https://www.oecd.org/content/dam/oecd/en/publications/reports/2017/07/oecd-fao-agricultural-outlook-2017-2026_g1g7a2da/agr_outlook-2017-en.pdf?utm_source=openai))
**Summary for 2026:**
- **Rice**: SEA exporters (Thailand, Vietnam) likely continue to pick up market share vacated by India’s restrictive policy, especially in the Middle East and parts of Africa; volumes moderate by logistics/geopolitics but overall trend is **higher SEA share of global rice exports**.
- **Palm oil**: Export **volumes broadly stable to slightly up**, but **destination mix gradually tilting more toward Asia and non‑EU buyers** under tightening sustainability regulation.
- **Seafood**: **Steady export growth** from Vietnam, Indonesia, Thailand into **China, EU, Japan and intra‑regional ASEAN**, with some **demand switch away from West Asia** due to conflict and macro conditions.
**Section 2 sources:** ([financialexpress.com](https://www.financialexpress.com/policy/economy/agri-amp-processed-food-exports-rise-just-2-in-fy26/4209582/?utm_source=openai))
---
=== 3. [DEMAND_SIGNALS] — Nearshoring to Southeast Asia and impact on shipping routes & Singapore transshipment (into 2026) ===
Direct, quantitative 2026‑dated work on “nearshoring → Singapore transshipment” is still sparse, but several fresh studies and market commentaries provide **strong directional signals**.
**1. Structural shift of production and trade to Southeast Asia**
- Multiple analyses of **post‑US–China trade war** supply chains show:
- Increased **re‑location or expansion of manufacturing to ASEAN** (Vietnam, Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia) as firms pursue “China+1” or “China+N” strategies.
- A 2025 academic study of the Port of Singapore finds that despite global slowdowns, **trade volume shifts and capacity expansions (Tuas) allow Singapore to retain or enhance its hub role** as flows re‑route through Southeast Asia. ([ejournal.seaninstitute.or.id](https://ejournal.seaninstitute.or.id/index.php/JMS/article/view/7690?utm_source=openai))
- A 2025 study on intra‑Asia container networks (2021Q4 vs 2025Q4) documents:
- Significant increases in **route frequency and connectivity on East Asia–South Asia and Southeast Asia–South Asia corridors**, reflecting more complex, **multi‑leg supply chains** using regional relays like Singapore. ([sciencedirect.com](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2092521226000209?utm_source=openai))
**2. Transshipment through ASEAN (and Singapore) under US tariff / rerouting pressure**
- S&P Global’s late‑2025 transshipment analysis notes:
- The **share of Chinese exports to the US shipped directly has decreased**, while **transshipment via ASEAN has risen sharply**, as firms route goods through countries like **Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam** to benefit from tariff differentials or rules‑of‑origin. ([spglobal.com](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/news-insights/research/2025/10/what-does-transshipment-trade-mean-for-china-asean-trade-and-us-tariffs?utm_source=openai))
- The US is **tightening scrutiny on ASEAN‑routed exports** with low domestic value content, raising the risk of **stricter rules of origin and higher tariffs** for goods suspected of being Chinese in origin. ([spglobal.com](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/news-insights/research/2025/10/what-does-transshipment-trade-mean-for-china-asean-trade-and-us-tariffs?utm_source=openai))
**Implications:**
- Nearshoring and tariff circumvention both lead to **higher transshipment volumes through ASEAN ports**, especially where hub connectivity is strongest—**Singapore first, then Port Klang, Laem Chabang, etc.**
- However, regulatory pushback (US scrutiny) may:
- Force **higher ASEAN value‑add** (genuine nearshoring), which would **shore up long‑term export and transshipment volumes**, or
- Curtail purely “paper relabeling” flows with low DVC, reducing some artificial transshipment.
**3. Evidence of increased transshipment load at Singapore**
- 2025 port statistics and commentary show:
- Singapore’s 2025 TEU throughput **44.7 million TEU, +8.6% YoY** and **~55% above pre‑pandemic**, attributed largely to **transshipment flows shifting to Southeast Asia** amid global disruptions. ([media.shipco.com](https://media.shipco.com/global-shipping-disruptions-push-volumes-toward-southeast-asias-transshipment-gateways/?utm_source=openai))
- Singapore is described as **“the world’s second‑largest container port”**, handling **~37.5+ million TEU with ~85% transshipment share** in baseline market research (some variation by source year), underlining its systemic role. ([marketresearch.com](https://www.marketresearch.com/Expert-Market-Research-v4220/Singapore-Container-Transshipment-Size-Share-44619452/?utm_source=openai))
- Academic and policy analyses emphasize:
- Singapore’s **digitalization, efficiency, and Tuas port expansion** as key to **absorbing rerouted volumes** from nearshored/China‑diverted production. ([ejournal.seaninstitute.or.id](https://ejournal.seaninstitute.or.id/index.php/JMS/article/view/7690?utm_source=openai))
**4. Shipping routes and service patterns responding to nearshoring**
- Intra‑Asia network research (2021Q4–2025Q4):
- Shows a **denser mesh of feeder and regional mainline services** connecting **Vietnam, Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia** to Singapore and South Asia/Middle East hubs.
- Structural metrics (PageRank, betweenness) highlight **Southeast Asian nodes—especially Singapore—as central connectors**, consistent with **more nearshored production being exported via these hubs** to US/EU. ([sciencedirect.com](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2092521226000209?utm_source=openai))
- Market commentaries on disruptions and capacity:
- Shipco’s 2025–26 analysis: “global shipping disruptions push volumes toward Southeast Asia’s transshipment gateways,” noting that **both Singapore and Port Klang have captured incremental relay traffic** as carriers adjust rotations and add calls to accommodate new sourcing footprints and detours. ([media.shipco.com](https://media.shipco.com/global-shipping-disruptions-push-volumes-toward-southeast-asias-transshipment-gateways/?utm_source=openai))
**5. Regulatory & trade‑policy demand signals into 2026**
- US and EU tariff/sanctions environment:
- S&P Global notes **rising US scrutiny of ASEAN intermediated trade**, which:
- Encourages **firms that are genuinely relocating capacity to ASEAN** (nearshoring) because higher ASEAN value‑add better withstands rules‑of‑origin tests. ([spglobal.com](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/news-insights/research/2025/10/what-does-transshipment-trade-mean-for-china-asean-trade-and-us-tariffs?utm_source=openai))
- Discourages mere **re‑routing of Chinese‑origin goods** without substantive processing.
- Environmental and sustainability rules (e.g., EUDR, maritime decarbonization discussions within ASEAN) are gradually:
- Pushing some buyers to **re‑map sourcing and logistics chains** to optimize carbon and compliance, often consolidating via efficient hubs like Singapore that can offer **green corridor pilots and digital documentation** (inferred from regional policy discussions and port digitalization narratives). ([ejournal.seaninstitute.or.id](https://ejournal.seaninstitute.or.id/index.php/JMS/article/view/7690?utm_source=openai))
**6. Net impact on Singapore freight flows in 2026**
Based on the above, the **best‑supported 2026‑view** is:
- **Net positive demand signal** for Singapore’s sea and air hubs from:
- **China+1 / nearshoring** of manufacturing into ASEAN (more origin cargo to consolidate);
- **Tariff‑driven transshipment and relay trades**;
- Major capacity expansions (Tuas, Changi).
- **Risks / moderating factors**:
- Heightened **US origin‑verification** could flatten some of the sharpest growth in tariff‑driven transshipment.
- **Global trade growth is only ~1.7%** in some 2026 base‑case forecasts, so **Singapore’s share gain** may outpace global growth, but **absolute volume growth is not explosive**. ([spglobal.com](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/news-insights/research/2026/02/2026-ocean-freight-outlook-softer-rates-ahead-but-volatility-is-not-going-anywhere?utm_source=openai))
Overall, nearshoring and trade diversion point to **continued, structurally elevated transshipment volumes through Singapore in 2026**, with **service network densification in intra‑Asia and Asia–South Asia lanes** and **moderately softer but volatile freight rates** set against growing capacity.